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McCain's New Ad Scores Slightly above Average Compared to His Past Ads


McCain's Ad - Jim Johnson

Flemington, NJ, September 24, 2008 – A new national study among 309 self-reported Democrats, Republicans and Independents, revealed that after viewing a new attack ad by John McCain there was a slight decrease in favorability ratings for both candidates among Independents.

The study was conducted by HCD Research and the Muhlenberg College Institute of Public Opinion (MCIPO) on September 23, to obtain Americans’ perceptions of a new attack ad by John McCain which focuses on Barack Obama’s association with Jim Johnson, former CEO of FannieMae.

The ad earned John McCain a Political Communications Impact Score (PCIS) of 15.1 and Barack Obama received a score of 3.8, resulting in a net score of 11.3 for John McCain. The scores can be compared to a mean score of 7.4 for previously tested McCain ads and 9.5 for previously tested Obama ads.  To date, the total mean score for all previously tested ads is 8.5.

Favorability for Candidates Pre/Post Viewing of the Ad:

Obama Pre Post
All Responders 54% 51%
Independents 61% 58%
     
McCain    
All Responders 55% 55%
Independents 56% 54%

The emotional response to the ad was highly negative among all parties.

 

 

Total
(n=309)

 

Registered
Democrat
(n=101`)

 

Registered Republican
(n=104)

Registered Independent
(n=104)

  • Anger

14%

11%

15%

15%

  • Inspiration

3%

2%

4%

3%

  • Sadness

7%

        6%

10%

6%

  • Skepticism

36%

50%

21%

38%

  • Confusion

11%

       19%

5%

       11%

  • Disturbing

22%

10%

      33%

22%

  • Embarrassment

1%

0%

3%

0%

  • Pride

3%

3%

5%

1%

  • Happiness

3%

0%

5%

5%

The PCIS is a metric scoring system designed to gauge the effectiveness of political communications by generating a score for each candidate to monitor changes in voter perceptions. The PCIS score is derived from the change in voters’ support and the extent that the support shifts.  To view scores and results of recent studies go to: http://www.mediacurves.com/PCIS/

While viewing the video, participants indicated their levels of believability by moving their mouse from left to right on a continuum. The responses were recorded in quarter-second intervals and reported in the form of curves. The participants’ emotions were measured using the Ayer Emotion Battery. Participants were also asked pre- and post-viewing questions. To view believability curves and detailed results go to: www.mediacurves.com.

The Media Curves web site provides the media and general public with a venue to view Americans’ perceptions of popular and controversial media events and advertisements.

Editors/Reporters: For more information on the study, or to speak with Glenn Kessler, president and CEO, HCD Research or Chris Borick, Ph.D., director of the Muhlenberg College Institute of Public Opinion, please contact Vince McGourty, HCD Research, at (908) 483-9121 or (vince.mcgourty@hcdi.net).

HCD Research is a communications research company headquartered in Flemington, NJ.  The company's services include traditional and web-based communications research.  For additional information on HCD Research, access the company’s web site at www.hcdi.net or call HCD Research at 908-788-9393.  Headquartered in Allentown, Pennsylvania, MCIPO is a respected source of public opinion data on local, state and national issues. For additional information on Muhlenberg College, go to www.muhlenberg.edu